Set 1 Winner: Alex Bolt vs Dane Sweeny
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market refers to the tennis match between Alex Bolt and Dane Sweeny in the Jingshan, originally scheduled for October 2, 2026 at 12:30AM ET. This market will resolve to “Alex Bolt” if Alex Bolt wins the first set. It will resolve to “Dane Sweeny” if Dane Sweeny wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by October 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger match statistics. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).
Sourcehttps://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bolt vs. Sweeny: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 | Polymarket | 100% Under | Open |
| Game Spread: Dane Sweeny (-1.5) vs Alex Bolt (+1.5) | Polymarket | 50% Dane Sweeny | Open |
| Bolt vs. Sweeny: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 | Polymarket | 91% Over | Open |
| Alex Bolt vs. Dane Sweeny: Total Sets O/U 2.5 | Polymarket | 50% Over 2.5 | Open |
| Bolt vs. Sweeny: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 | Polymarket | 100% Over | Open |
| Set 2 Winner: Alex Bolt vs Dane Sweeny | Polymarket | 50% Alex Bolt | Open |
| Set Handicap: Dane Sweeny (-1.5) vs Alex Bolt (+1.5) | Polymarket | 91% Alex Bolt | Open |
| Bolt vs. Sweeny: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 | Polymarket | 100% Under | Open |
| Bolt vs. Sweeny: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 | Polymarket | 50% Over | Open |
| Bolt vs. Sweeny: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 | Polymarket | 91% Over | Open |
| Alex Bolt vs Dane Sweeny: Alex Bolt wins | Polymarket | 71% Alex Bolt | Open |
| Jingshan: Completed Match: Alex Bolt vs Dane Sweeny | Polymarket | 54% Yes | Open |
| Bolt vs. Sweeny: Match O/U 22.5 | Polymarket | 50% Under | Open |
| Bolt vs. Sweeny: Match O/U 21.5 | Polymarket | 50% Over | Open |
| Bolt vs. Sweeny: Match O/U 23.5 | Polymarket | 50% Over | Open |
Venue activity
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As of Oct 2, 11:48 AM UTC