PolymarketOpen

Maria vs. Ma: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5

Under51%
Over50%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$10.4
Spread97%
ResolvesOct 8, 2026in 7 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 1, 01:51 AMOct 1, 04:29 AMOct 1, 07:08 AMOct 1, 09:46 AM

No recorded data before Oct 1 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Tatjana Maria and Lea Ma in the W100 Templeton, CA, originally scheduled for October 1, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 10. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game. If the match is postponed or suspended, this market will remain open until the first set has been completed. A postponement alone will not trigger a 50-50 resolution. If the match is permanently abandoned before the first set is completed, or if the first set has not been completed by October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play. An outcome is considered unconditionally determined if it would have been guaranteed under every possible completion of the set played according to the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round, including whether the set is decided by a tiebreak. For example, for a line of 9.5, if play stops with the first set at 5-4, completing the set would have required at least 1 additional game, resulting in at least 10 games played, so "Over" would resolve as the winning outcome. The primary resolution source for this market will be official ITF statistics; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

Sourcehttps://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
W100 Templeton, CA: Tatjana Maria vs Lea MaPolymarket84% Tatjana MariaOpen
W100 Templeton, CA, Main Draw: Completed Match: Tatjana Maria vs Lea MaPolymarket59% YesOpen
Set 2 Winner: Tatjana Maria vs Lea MaPolymarket50% Lea MaOpen
Maria vs. Ma: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Maria vs. Ma: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket67% UnderOpen
Tatjana Maria vs. Lea Ma: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket74% Under 2.5Open
Set Handicap: Lea Ma (-1.5) vs Tatjana Maria (+1.5)Polymarket91% Tatjana MariaOpen
Set 1 Winner: Tatjana Maria vs Lea MaPolymarket79% Tatjana MariaOpen
Set Handicap: Tatjana Maria (-1.5) vs Lea Ma (+1.5)Polymarket66% Tatjana MariaOpen
Maria vs. Ma: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Maria vs. Ma: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Maria vs. Ma: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Maria vs. Ma: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Maria vs. Ma: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket56% OverOpen
Maria vs. Ma: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen

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As of Oct 1, 10:09 AM UTC