Set Handicap: Tatjana Maria (-1.5) vs Lea Ma (+1.5)
Price checked at
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
No recorded data before Oct 1 in this window.
Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market refers to the tennis match between Tatjana Maria and Lea Ma in the W100 Templeton, CA, originally scheduled for October 1, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Tatjana Maria" if Tatjana Maria wins by 2 or more sets than Lea Ma, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Lea Ma." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Tatjana Maria can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Lea Ma." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF results.
Sourcehttps://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| W100 Templeton, CA, Main Draw: Completed Match: Tatjana Maria vs Lea Ma | Polymarket | 53% Yes | Open |
| Set 2 Winner: Tatjana Maria vs Lea Ma | Polymarket | 50% Lea Ma | Open |
| Maria vs. Ma: Match O/U 21.5 | Polymarket | 51% Under | Open |
| Maria vs. Ma: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 | Polymarket | 67% Under | Open |
| Tatjana Maria vs. Lea Ma: Total Sets O/U 2.5 | Polymarket | 75% Under 2.5 | Open |
| Set Handicap: Lea Ma (-1.5) vs Tatjana Maria (+1.5) | Polymarket | 92% Tatjana Maria | Open |
| Set 1 Winner: Tatjana Maria vs Lea Ma | Polymarket | 79% Tatjana Maria | Open |
| Maria vs. Ma: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 | Polymarket | 51% Under | Open |
| Maria vs. Ma: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 | Polymarket | 51% Under | Open |
| Maria vs. Ma: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 | Polymarket | 51% Under | Open |
| Maria vs. Ma: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 | Polymarket | 51% Under | Open |
| Maria vs. Ma: Match O/U 22.5 | Polymarket | 51% Under | Open |
| Maria vs. Ma: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 | Polymarket | 56% Over | Open |
| Maria vs. Ma: Match O/U 23.5 | Polymarket | 51% Under | Open |
| W100 Templeton, CA: Tatjana Maria vs Lea Ma | Polymarket | 86% Tatjana Maria | Open |
Venue activity
Read from the venue this minuteDiscussion on Predxy
What Predxy's readers make of this market. Everyone can read; signed-in readers can write. The venue's own thread, when it has one, is the box below.Sign in to join the discussion.
Nobody has said anything here yet.
As of Oct 1, 03:12 PM UTC