PolymarketOpen

Set Handicap: Luca Castagnola (-1.5) vs Robert Strombachs (+1.5)

Luca Castagnola50%
Robert Strombachs50%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$6.6
Spread94%
ResolvesOct 8, 2026in 7 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 30, 07:46 PMSep 30, 10:55 PMOct 1, 02:04 AMOct 1, 05:13 AM

No recorded data before Sep 30 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Luca Castagnola and Robert Strombachs in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, originally scheduled for October 1, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Luca Castagnola" if Luca Castagnola wins by 2 or more sets than Robert Strombachs, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Robert Strombachs." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Luca Castagnola can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Robert Strombachs." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF results.

Sourcehttps://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Main Draw: Completed Match: Robert Strombachs vs Luca CastagnolaPolymarket59% YesOpen
M15 Sharm ElSheikh: Robert Strombachs vs Luca CastagnolaPolymarket82% Robert StrombachsOpen
Set 1 Winner: Robert Strombachs vs Luca CastagnolaPolymarket52% Robert StrombachsOpen
Robert Strombachs vs. Luca Castagnola: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket50% Over 2.5Open
Set Handicap: Robert Strombachs (-1.5) vs Luca Castagnola (+1.5)Polymarket50% Robert StrombachsOpen
Strombachs vs. Castagnola: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Set 2 Winner: Robert Strombachs vs Luca CastagnolaPolymarket50% Robert StrombachsOpen
Strombachs vs. Castagnola: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Strombachs vs. Castagnola: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Strombachs vs. Castagnola: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Strombachs vs. Castagnola: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Strombachs vs. Castagnola: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Strombachs vs. Castagnola: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Strombachs vs. Castagnola: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Strombachs vs. Castagnola: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket50% OverOpen

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As of Oct 1, 05:48 AM UTC