PolymarketOpen

M15 Sharm ElSheikh: Robert Strombachs vs Luca Castagnola

Robert Strombachs82%
Luca Castagnola19%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$724.4
Spread3%
ResolvesOct 8, 2026in 7 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 30, 07:06 PMSep 30, 10:10 PMOct 1, 01:14 AMOct 1, 04:18 AM

No recorded data before Sep 30 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Robert Strombachs and Luca Castagnola in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 1, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Robert Strombachs' if Robert Strombachs advances against Luca Castagnola. This market will resolve to 'Luca Castagnola' if Luca Castagnola advances against Robert Strombachs. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Sourcehttps://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Main Draw: Completed Match: Robert Strombachs vs Luca CastagnolaPolymarket59% YesOpen
Set 1 Winner: Robert Strombachs vs Luca CastagnolaPolymarket51% Robert StrombachsOpen
Robert Strombachs vs. Luca Castagnola: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket50% Over 2.5Open
Set Handicap: Robert Strombachs (-1.5) vs Luca Castagnola (+1.5)Polymarket50% Robert StrombachsOpen
Strombachs vs. Castagnola: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Set 2 Winner: Robert Strombachs vs Luca CastagnolaPolymarket50% Robert StrombachsOpen
Strombachs vs. Castagnola: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Strombachs vs. Castagnola: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Strombachs vs. Castagnola: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Strombachs vs. Castagnola: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Strombachs vs. Castagnola: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Strombachs vs. Castagnola: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Strombachs vs. Castagnola: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Set Handicap: Luca Castagnola (-1.5) vs Robert Strombachs (+1.5)Polymarket50% Luca CastagnolaOpen
Strombachs vs. Castagnola: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen

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As of Oct 1, 04:30 AM UTC