PolymarketOpen

Set Handicap: Naiktha Bains (-1.5) vs Polona Hercog (+1.5)

Polona Hercog70%
Naiktha Bains31%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
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Liquidity$1.8K
Spread3%
ResolvesOct 8, 2026in 7 days

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 30, 07:51 PMSep 30, 11:55 PMOct 1, 03:59 AMOct 1, 08:03 AMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

No recorded data before Sep 30 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Naiktha Bains and Polona Hercog in the W75 Quinta do Lago, originally scheduled for October 1, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Naiktha Bains" if Naiktha Bains wins by 2 or more sets than Polona Hercog, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Polona Hercog." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Naiktha Bains can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Polona Hercog." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF results.

Sourcehttps://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
W75 Quinta do Lago, Main Draw: Completed Match: Naiktha Bains vs Polona HercogPolymarket53% YesOpen
Bains vs. Hercog: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Bains vs. Hercog: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket54% UnderOpen
Bains vs. Hercog: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket54% UnderOpen
Set 2 Winner: Naiktha Bains vs Polona HercogPolymarket50% Naiktha BainsOpen
Naiktha Bains vs. Polona Hercog: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket63% Under 2.5Open
Set 1 Winner: Naiktha Bains vs Polona HercogPolymarket52% Polona HercogOpen
Bains vs. Hercog: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket63% UnderOpen
Bains vs. Hercog: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket58% OverOpen
Bains vs. Hercog: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Bains vs. Hercog: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Bains vs. Hercog: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket54% UnderOpen
Bains vs. Hercog: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
W75 Quinta do Lago: Naiktha Bains vs Polona HercogPolymarket53% Polona HercogOpen
Set Handicap: Polona Hercog (-1.5) vs Naiktha Bains (+1.5)Polymarket63% Naiktha BainsOpen

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As of Oct 1, 08:17 AM UTC