PolymarketOpen

Set 1 Winner: Naiktha Bains vs Polona Hercog

Polona Hercog52%
Naiktha Bains48%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$2.1K
Spread5%
ResolvesOct 8, 2026in 7 days

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 30, 07:51 PMOct 1, 01:19 AMOct 1, 06:47 AMOct 1, 12:15 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

No recorded data before Sep 30 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Naiktha Bains and Polona Hercog in the W75 Quinta do Lago, originally scheduled for October 1, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Naiktha Bains” if Naiktha Bains wins the first set. It will resolve to “Polona Hercog” if Polona Hercog wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF match statistics. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

Sourcehttps://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
W75 Quinta do Lago, Main Draw: Completed Match: Naiktha Bains vs Polona HercogPolymarket50% YesOpen
Bains vs. Hercog: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Bains vs. Hercog: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Bains vs. Hercog: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket54% UnderOpen
Set 2 Winner: Naiktha Bains vs Polona HercogPolymarket50% Naiktha BainsOpen
Naiktha Bains vs. Polona Hercog: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket65% Under 2.5Open
Bains vs. Hercog: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Bains vs. Hercog: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Bains vs. Hercog: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Bains vs. Hercog: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Bains vs. Hercog: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Set Handicap: Naiktha Bains (-1.5) vs Polona Hercog (+1.5)Polymarket70% Polona HercogOpen
Bains vs. Hercog: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
W75 Quinta do Lago: Naiktha Bains vs Polona HercogPolymarket53% Polona HercogOpen
Set Handicap: Polona Hercog (-1.5) vs Naiktha Bains (+1.5)Polymarket66% Naiktha BainsOpen

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As of Oct 1, 12:49 PM UTC