KalshiOpen

Will the S&P 500 be above 7609.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 10am EDT? 7,610 or above

7,610 or above97%
No4%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread3%
ResolvesOct 1, 2026in 11 hours

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 30, 07:27 PMSep 30, 09:55 PMOct 1, 12:23 AMOct 1, 02:51 AM

No recorded data before Sep 30 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the S&P 500 index value on Oct 1, 2026 at 10am EDT is above 7609.9999, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will close on October 01, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after October 01, 2026. Pursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets. See the rules for more information.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will the S&P 500 be above 7649.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 10am EDT? 7,650 or aboveKalshi87% 7,650 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7674.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 10am EDT? 7,675 or aboveKalshi60% 7,675 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7679.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 10am EDT? 7,680 or aboveKalshi55% 7,680 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7599.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 10am EDT? 7,600 or aboveKalshi99% 7,600 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7629.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 10am EDT? 7,630 or aboveKalshi91% 7,630 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7734.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 10am EDT? 7,735 or aboveKalshi94% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7724.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 10am EDT? 7,725 or aboveKalshi94% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7719.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 10am EDT? 7,720 or aboveKalshi91% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7694.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 10am EDT? 7,695 or aboveKalshi64% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7689.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 10am EDT? 7,690 or aboveKalshi66% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7684.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 10am EDT? 7,685 or aboveKalshi55% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7659.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 10am EDT? 7,660 or aboveKalshi75% 7,660 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7639.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 10am EDT? 7,640 or aboveKalshi87% 7,640 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7634.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 10am EDT? 7,635 or aboveKalshi89% 7,635 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7604.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 10am EDT? 7,605 or aboveKalshi97% 7,605 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7624.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 10am EDT? 7,625 or aboveKalshi93% 7,625 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7614.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 10am EDT? 7,615 or aboveKalshi95% 7,615 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7619.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 10am EDT? 7,620 or aboveKalshi94% 7,620 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7584.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 10am EDT? 7,585 or aboveKalshi98% 7,585 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7574.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 10am EDT? 7,575 or aboveKalshi98% 7,575 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7589.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 10am EDT? 7,590 or aboveKalshi98% 7,590 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7579.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 10am EDT? 7,580 or aboveKalshi98% 7,580 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7569.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 10am EDT? 7,570 or aboveKalshi99% 7,570 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7549.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 10am EDT? 7,550 or aboveKalshi88% 7,550 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7544.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 10am EDT? 7,545 or aboveKalshi91% 7,545 or aboveOpen

Venue activity

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Open interest—
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As of Oct 1, 02:54 AM UTC