KalshiOpen

Will the S&P 500 be above 7614.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 10am EDT? 7,615 or above

7,615 or above93%

No7%

Price checked at Oct 1, 09:35 AM UTC

Trade

Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country →

Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.

24h volume$20

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread9%

ResolvesOct 1, 2026in 4 hours

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom

No recorded data before Sep 30 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the S&P 500 index value on Oct 1, 2026 at 10am EDT is above 7614.9999, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will close on October 01, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after October 01, 2026. Pursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets. See the rules for more information.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will the S&P 500 be above 7679.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 10am EDT? 7,680 or above	Kalshi	56% 7,680 or above	$458.7	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7689.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 10am EDT? 7,690 or above	Kalshi	63% No	$429	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7639.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 10am EDT? 7,640 or above	Kalshi	80% 7,640 or above	$417	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7649.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 10am EDT? 7,650 or above	Kalshi	79% 7,650 or above	$308.5	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7729.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 10am EDT? 7,730 or above	Kalshi	86% No	$277.7	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7599.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 10am EDT? 7,600 or above	Kalshi	99% 7,600 or above	$230.9	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7704.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 10am EDT? 7,705 or above	Kalshi	88% No	$157.6	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7674.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 10am EDT? 7,675 or above	Kalshi	56% 7,675 or above	$113.2	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7699.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 10am EDT? 7,700 or above	Kalshi	78% No	$108.2	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7714.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 10am EDT? 7,715 or above	Kalshi	93% No	$101	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7709.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 10am EDT? 7,710 or above	Kalshi	70% No	$91	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7629.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 10am EDT? 7,630 or above	Kalshi	89% 7,630 or above	$64.5	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7684.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 10am EDT? 7,685 or above	Kalshi	66% 7,685 or above	$61.7	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7719.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 10am EDT? 7,720 or above	Kalshi	82% No	$54	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7724.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 10am EDT? 7,725 or above	Kalshi	85% No	$48.8	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7694.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 10am EDT? 7,695 or above	Kalshi	81% No	$48	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7664.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 10am EDT? 7,665 or above	Kalshi	56% 7,665 or above	$43	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7594.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 10am EDT? 7,595 or above	Kalshi	99% 7,595 or above	$40.5	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7744.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 10am EDT? 7,745 or above	Kalshi	99% No	$38	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7669.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 10am EDT? 7,670 or above	Kalshi	56% 7,670 or above	$38	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7644.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 10am EDT? 7,645 or above	Kalshi	75% 7,645 or above	$37.8	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7589.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 10am EDT? 7,590 or above	Kalshi	99% 7,590 or above	$35.5	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7634.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 10am EDT? 7,635 or above	Kalshi	85% 7,635 or above	$11	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7604.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 10am EDT? 7,605 or above	Kalshi	99% 7,605 or above	$10	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7654.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 10am EDT? 7,655 or above	Kalshi	65% 7,655 or above	$2	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue this minute

Holders—

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments0

Discussion on Predxy

What Predxy's readers make of this market. Everyone can read; signed-in readers can write. The venue's own thread, when it has one, is the box below.

Nobody has said anything here yet.

As of Oct 1, 09:46 AM UTC