KalshiOpen

Will the S&P 500 be above 7739.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 10am EDT? 7,740 or above

No94%
7,740 or above6%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread4%
ResolvesOct 1, 2026in 6 hours

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 30, 07:27 PMSep 30, 11:18 PMOct 1, 03:09 AMOct 1, 07:00 AMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

No recorded data before Sep 30 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the S&P 500 index value on Oct 1, 2026 at 10am EDT is above 7739.9999, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will close on October 01, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after October 01, 2026. Pursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets. See the rules for more information.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will the S&P 500 be above 7679.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 10am EDT? 7,680 or aboveKalshi67% 7,680 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7689.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 10am EDT? 7,690 or aboveKalshi58% 7,690 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7639.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 10am EDT? 7,640 or aboveKalshi94% 7,640 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7649.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 10am EDT? 7,650 or aboveKalshi90% 7,650 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7729.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 10am EDT? 7,730 or aboveKalshi86% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7599.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 10am EDT? 7,600 or aboveKalshi99% 7,600 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7704.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 10am EDT? 7,705 or aboveKalshi62% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7674.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 10am EDT? 7,675 or aboveKalshi78% 7,675 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7699.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 10am EDT? 7,700 or aboveKalshi56% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7714.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 10am EDT? 7,715 or aboveKalshi75% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7709.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 10am EDT? 7,710 or aboveKalshi70% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7629.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 10am EDT? 7,630 or aboveKalshi91% 7,630 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7684.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 10am EDT? 7,685 or aboveKalshi66% 7,685 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7719.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 10am EDT? 7,720 or aboveKalshi82% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7724.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 10am EDT? 7,725 or aboveKalshi85% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7694.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 10am EDT? 7,695 or aboveKalshi51% 7,695 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7664.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 10am EDT? 7,665 or aboveKalshi68% 7,665 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7594.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 10am EDT? 7,595 or aboveKalshi99% 7,595 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7744.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 10am EDT? 7,745 or aboveKalshi99% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7669.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 10am EDT? 7,670 or aboveKalshi63% 7,670 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7644.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 10am EDT? 7,645 or aboveKalshi92% 7,645 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7589.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 10am EDT? 7,590 or aboveKalshi99% 7,590 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7614.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 10am EDT? 7,615 or aboveKalshi98% 7,615 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7634.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 10am EDT? 7,635 or aboveKalshi95% 7,635 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7604.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 10am EDT? 7,605 or aboveKalshi99% 7,605 or aboveOpen

Venue activity

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As of Oct 1, 08:18 AM UTC