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KalshiOpen

Will the S&P 500 be above 7704.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 11am EDT? 7,705 or above

No69%
7,705 or above31%

Price checked at

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread38%
ResolvesOct 1, 2026in 16 hours

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 30, 07:27 PMSep 30, 08:28 PMSep 30, 09:28 PMSep 30, 10:29 PM

No recorded data before Sep 30 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the S&P 500 index value on Oct 1, 2026 at 11am EDT is above 7704.9999, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will close on October 01, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after October 01, 2026. Pursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets. See the rules for more information.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will the S&P 500 be above 7629.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 11am EDT? 7,630 or aboveKalshi71% 7,630 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7619.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 11am EDT? 7,620 or aboveKalshi83% 7,620 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7709.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 11am EDT? 7,710 or aboveKalshi76% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7724.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 11am EDT? 7,725 or aboveKalshi82% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7684.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 11am EDT? 7,685 or aboveKalshi61% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7669.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 11am EDT? 7,670 or aboveKalshi53% 7,670 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7659.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 11am EDT? 7,660 or aboveKalshi55% 7,660 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7624.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 11am EDT? 7,625 or aboveKalshi72% 7,625 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7649.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 11am EDT? 7,650 or aboveKalshi63% 7,650 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7639.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 11am EDT? 7,640 or aboveKalshi70% 7,640 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7634.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 11am EDT? 7,635 or aboveKalshi66% 7,635 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7614.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 11am EDT? 7,615 or aboveKalshi81% 7,615 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7604.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 11am EDT? 7,605 or aboveKalshi80% 7,605 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7609.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 11am EDT? 7,610 or aboveKalshi85% 7,610 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7589.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 11am EDT? 7,590 or aboveKalshi88% 7,590 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7554.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 11am EDT? 7,555 or aboveKalshi83% 7,555 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7584.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 11am EDT? 7,585 or aboveKalshi79% 7,585 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7564.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 11am EDT? 7,565 or aboveKalshi90% 7,565 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7574.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 11am EDT? 7,575 or aboveKalshi82% 7,575 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7579.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 11am EDT? 7,580 or aboveKalshi90% 7,580 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7559.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 11am EDT? 7,560 or aboveKalshi89% 7,560 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7549.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 11am EDT? 7,550 or aboveKalshi83% 7,550 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7544.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 11am EDT? 7,545 or aboveKalshi85% 7,545 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7539.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 11am EDT? 7,540 or aboveKalshi85% 7,540 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7534.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 11am EDT? 7,535 or aboveKalshi86% 7,535 or aboveOpen

Venue activity

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Held value—
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Open interest—
Comments0

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As of Sep 30, 10:53 PM UTC