KalshiOpen

Will the S&P 500 be above 7709.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 11am EDT? 7,710 or above

No75%
7,710 or above25%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread22%
ResolvesOct 1, 2026in 17 hours

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 30, 07:27 PMSep 30, 08:04 PMSep 30, 08:41 PMSep 30, 09:18 PMAvailable history starts Sep 30

No recorded data before Sep 30 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the S&P 500 index value on Oct 1, 2026 at 11am EDT is above 7709.9999, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will close on October 01, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after October 01, 2026. Pursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets. See the rules for more information.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will the S&P 500 be above 7629.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 11am EDT? 7,630 or aboveKalshi71% 7,630 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7739.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 11am EDT? 7,740 or aboveKalshi87% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7719.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 11am EDT? 7,720 or aboveKalshi79% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7704.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 11am EDT? 7,705 or aboveKalshi74% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7729.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 11am EDT? 7,730 or aboveKalshi86% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7734.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 11am EDT? 7,735 or aboveKalshi89% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7724.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 11am EDT? 7,725 or aboveKalshi88% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7714.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 11am EDT? 7,715 or aboveKalshi81% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7694.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 11am EDT? 7,695 or aboveKalshi73% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7674.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 11am EDT? 7,675 or aboveKalshi60% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7699.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 11am EDT? 7,700 or aboveKalshi72% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7679.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 11am EDT? 7,680 or aboveKalshi70% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7684.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 11am EDT? 7,685 or aboveKalshi66% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7689.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 11am EDT? 7,690 or aboveKalshi76% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7669.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 11am EDT? 7,670 or aboveKalshi62% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7659.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 11am EDT? 7,660 or aboveKalshi61% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7664.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 11am EDT? 7,665 or aboveKalshi56% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7624.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 11am EDT? 7,625 or aboveKalshi61% 7,625 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7654.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 11am EDT? 7,655 or aboveKalshi51% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7649.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 11am EDT? 7,650 or aboveKalshi55% 7,650 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7644.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 11am EDT? 7,645 or aboveKalshi58% 7,645 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7639.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 11am EDT? 7,640 or aboveKalshi61% 7,640 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7634.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 11am EDT? 7,635 or aboveKalshi61% 7,635 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7614.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 11am EDT? 7,615 or aboveKalshi75% 7,615 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7604.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 11am EDT? 7,605 or aboveKalshi81% 7,605 or aboveOpen

Venue activity

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As of Sep 30, 09:48 PM UTC