KalshiOpen

Will the S&P 500 be above 7534.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 12pm EDT? 7,535 or above

7,535 or above84%
No17%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread24%
ResolvesOct 1, 2026in 15 hours

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 30, 07:27 PMSep 30, 09:18 PMSep 30, 11:09 PMOct 1, 01:00 AMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

No recorded data before Sep 30 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the S&P 500 index value on Oct 1, 2026 at 12pm EDT is above 7534.9999, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will close on October 01, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after October 01, 2026. Pursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets. See the rules for more information.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will the S&P 500 be above 7749.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 12pm EDT? 7,750 or aboveKalshi81% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7744.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 12pm EDT? 7,745 or aboveKalshi89% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7724.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 12pm EDT? 7,725 or aboveKalshi74% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7739.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 12pm EDT? 7,740 or aboveKalshi80% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7679.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 12pm EDT? 7,680 or aboveKalshi52% 7,680 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7669.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 12pm EDT? 7,670 or aboveKalshi57% 7,670 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7694.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 12pm EDT? 7,695 or aboveKalshi60% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7684.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 12pm EDT? 7,685 or aboveKalshi56% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7664.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 12pm EDT? 7,665 or aboveKalshi59% 7,665 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7624.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 12pm EDT? 7,625 or aboveKalshi76% 7,625 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7609.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 12pm EDT? 7,610 or aboveKalshi85% 7,610 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7634.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 12pm EDT? 7,635 or aboveKalshi80% 7,635 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7584.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 12pm EDT? 7,585 or aboveKalshi82% 7,585 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7604.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 12pm EDT? 7,605 or aboveKalshi83% 7,605 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7579.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 12pm EDT? 7,580 or aboveKalshi86% 7,580 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7594.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 12pm EDT? 7,595 or aboveKalshi84% 7,595 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7599.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 12pm EDT? 7,600 or aboveKalshi84% 7,600 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7559.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 12pm EDT? 7,560 or aboveKalshi85% 7,560 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7554.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 12pm EDT? 7,555 or aboveKalshi84% 7,555 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7569.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 12pm EDT? 7,570 or aboveKalshi81% 7,570 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7574.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 12pm EDT? 7,575 or aboveKalshi88% 7,575 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7549.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 12pm EDT? 7,550 or aboveKalshi91% 7,550 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7544.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 12pm EDT? 7,545 or aboveKalshi83% 7,545 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7529.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 12pm EDT? 7,530 or aboveKalshi87% 7,530 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7539.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 12pm EDT? 7,540 or aboveKalshi87% 7,540 or aboveOpen

Venue activity

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As of Oct 1, 01:03 AM UTC