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KalshiOpen

Will the S&P 500 be above 7604.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 12pm EDT? 7,605 or above

7,605 or above81%
No20%

Price checked at

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread20%
ResolvesOct 1, 2026in 18 hours

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 30, 07:27 PMSep 30, 08:04 PMSep 30, 08:41 PMSep 30, 09:18 PMAvailable history starts Sep 30

No recorded data before Sep 30 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the S&P 500 index value on Oct 1, 2026 at 12pm EDT is above 7604.9999, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will close on October 01, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after October 01, 2026. Pursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets. See the rules for more information.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will the S&P 500 be above 7749.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 12pm EDT? 7,750 or aboveKalshi79% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7744.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 12pm EDT? 7,745 or aboveKalshi85% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7724.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 12pm EDT? 7,725 or aboveKalshi81% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7734.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 12pm EDT? 7,735 or aboveKalshi79% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7709.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 12pm EDT? 7,710 or aboveKalshi74% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7739.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 12pm EDT? 7,740 or aboveKalshi84% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7714.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 12pm EDT? 7,715 or aboveKalshi84% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7719.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 12pm EDT? 7,720 or aboveKalshi75% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7729.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 12pm EDT? 7,730 or aboveKalshi90% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7679.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 12pm EDT? 7,680 or aboveKalshi73% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7669.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 12pm EDT? 7,670 or aboveKalshi65% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7689.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 12pm EDT? 7,690 or aboveKalshi67% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7694.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 12pm EDT? 7,695 or aboveKalshi77% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7704.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 12pm EDT? 7,705 or aboveKalshi70% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7674.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 12pm EDT? 7,675 or aboveKalshi63% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7699.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 12pm EDT? 7,700 or aboveKalshi75% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7659.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 12pm EDT? 7,660 or aboveKalshi50% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7649.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 12pm EDT? 7,650 or aboveKalshi53% 7,650 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7654.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 12pm EDT? 7,655 or aboveKalshi52% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7639.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 12pm EDT? 7,640 or aboveKalshi60% 7,640 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7644.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 12pm EDT? 7,645 or aboveKalshi54% 7,645 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7664.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 12pm EDT? 7,665 or aboveKalshi52% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7624.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 12pm EDT? 7,625 or aboveKalshi68% 7,625 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7614.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 12pm EDT? 7,615 or aboveKalshi68% 7,615 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7609.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 12pm EDT? 7,610 or aboveKalshi73% 7,610 or aboveOpen

Venue activity

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Held value—
Trades (24h)—
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Open interest—
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As of Sep 30, 09:52 PM UTC