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KalshiOpen

Will the S&P 500 be above 7564.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 12pm EDT? 7,565 or above

7,565 or above84%
No16%

Price checked at

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread30%
ResolvesOct 1, 2026in 17 hours

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 30, 07:27 PMSep 30, 08:28 PMSep 30, 09:28 PMSep 30, 10:29 PM

No recorded data before Sep 30 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the S&P 500 index value on Oct 1, 2026 at 12pm EDT is above 7564.9999, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will close on October 01, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after October 01, 2026. Pursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets. See the rules for more information.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will the S&P 500 be above 7749.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 12pm EDT? 7,750 or aboveKalshi87% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7744.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 12pm EDT? 7,745 or aboveKalshi80% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7724.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 12pm EDT? 7,725 or aboveKalshi80% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7739.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 12pm EDT? 7,740 or aboveKalshi77% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7679.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 12pm EDT? 7,680 or aboveKalshi53% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7669.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 12pm EDT? 7,670 or aboveKalshi51% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7694.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 12pm EDT? 7,695 or aboveKalshi68% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7684.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 12pm EDT? 7,685 or aboveKalshi57% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7664.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 12pm EDT? 7,665 or aboveKalshi61% 7,665 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7624.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 12pm EDT? 7,625 or aboveKalshi70% 7,625 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7609.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 12pm EDT? 7,610 or aboveKalshi74% 7,610 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7634.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 12pm EDT? 7,635 or aboveKalshi64% 7,635 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7584.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 12pm EDT? 7,585 or aboveKalshi84% 7,585 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7579.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 12pm EDT? 7,580 or aboveKalshi78% 7,580 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7594.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 12pm EDT? 7,595 or aboveKalshi82% 7,595 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7599.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 12pm EDT? 7,600 or aboveKalshi78% 7,600 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7559.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 12pm EDT? 7,560 or aboveKalshi82% 7,560 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7554.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 12pm EDT? 7,555 or aboveKalshi86% 7,555 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7569.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 12pm EDT? 7,570 or aboveKalshi88% 7,570 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7574.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 12pm EDT? 7,575 or aboveKalshi79% 7,575 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7549.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 12pm EDT? 7,550 or aboveKalshi91% 7,550 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7544.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 12pm EDT? 7,545 or aboveKalshi83% 7,545 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7529.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 12pm EDT? 7,530 or aboveKalshi87% 7,530 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7534.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 12pm EDT? 7,535 or aboveKalshi84% 7,535 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7539.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 12pm EDT? 7,540 or aboveKalshi87% 7,540 or aboveOpen

Venue activity

Holders—
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
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Open interest—
Comments0

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As of Sep 30, 10:53 PM UTC