KalshiOpen

Will the S&P 500 be above 7649.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,650 or above

7,650 or above98%

No2%

Price checked at Oct 1, 09:06 PM UTC

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24h volume$3

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread80%

ResolvesOct 1, 20262 hours ago

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the S&P 500 index value on Oct 1, 2026 at 3pm EDT is above 7649.9999, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will close on October 01, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after October 01, 2026. Pursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets. See the rules for more information.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will the S&P 500 be above 7749.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,750 or above	Kalshi	90% No	$185.5	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7744.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,745 or above	Kalshi	90% No	$152	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7694.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,695 or above	Kalshi	99% No	$133.1	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7689.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,690 or above	Kalshi	99% No	$130	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7654.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,655 or above	Kalshi	80% 7,655 or above	$95	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7674.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,675 or above	Kalshi	99% 7,675 or above	$86	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7754.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,755 or above	Kalshi	96% No	$73.5	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7554.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,555 or above	Kalshi	98% 7,555 or above	$65	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7704.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,705 or above	Kalshi	99% No	$47	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7699.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,700 or above	Kalshi	99% No	$44	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7769.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,770 or above	Kalshi	95% No	$38.5	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7739.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,740 or above	Kalshi	85% No	$35.5	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7714.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,715 or above	Kalshi	99% No	$12	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7729.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,730 or above	Kalshi	99% No	$10	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7709.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,710 or above	Kalshi	99% No	$10	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7684.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,685 or above	Kalshi	99% No	$8	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7679.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,680 or above	Kalshi	99% No	$6	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7659.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,660 or above	Kalshi	99% 7,660 or above	$6	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7669.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,670 or above	Kalshi	98% 7,670 or above	$4	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7609.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,610 or above	Kalshi	99% 7,610 or above	$3	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7664.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,665 or above	Kalshi	99% 7,665 or above	$2	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7634.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,635 or above	Kalshi	99% 7,635 or above	$2	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7624.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,625 or above	Kalshi	99% 7,625 or above	$2	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7619.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,620 or above	Kalshi	99% 7,620 or above	$2	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7629.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,630 or above	Kalshi	98% 7,630 or above	$2	—	—	Open

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As of Oct 1, 09:10 PM UTC