KalshiOpen

Will the S&P 500 be above 7664.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,665 or above

No89%
7,665 or above11%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread45%
ResolvesOct 1, 2026in 3 hours

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 30, 07:26 PMOct 1, 02:17 AMOct 1, 09:07 AMOct 1, 03:58 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the S&P 500 index value on Oct 1, 2026 at 3pm EDT is above 7664.9999, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will close on October 01, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after October 01, 2026. Pursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets. See the rules for more information.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will the S&P 500 be above 7749.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,750 or aboveKalshi90% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7744.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,745 or aboveKalshi90% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7554.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,555 or aboveKalshi98% 7,555 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7769.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,770 or aboveKalshi95% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7754.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,755 or aboveKalshi96% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7739.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,740 or aboveKalshi85% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7714.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,715 or aboveKalshi99% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7654.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,655 or aboveKalshi78% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7759.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,760 or aboveKalshi81% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7734.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,735 or aboveKalshi90% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7729.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,730 or aboveKalshi99% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7709.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,710 or aboveKalshi99% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7684.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,685 or aboveKalshi97% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7694.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,695 or aboveKalshi98% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7699.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,700 or aboveKalshi99% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7704.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,705 or aboveKalshi99% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7689.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,690 or aboveKalshi98% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7679.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,680 or aboveKalshi95% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7674.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,675 or aboveKalshi95% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7669.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,670 or aboveKalshi93% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7524.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,525 or aboveKalshi83% 7,525 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7534.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,535 or aboveKalshi92% 7,535 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7519.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,520 or aboveKalshi88% 7,520 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7529.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,530 or aboveKalshi88% 7,530 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7514.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,515 or aboveKalshi86% 7,515 or aboveOpen

Venue activity

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As of Oct 1, 04:07 PM UTC