PolymarketOpen

Set 1 Winner: Kosuke Ogura vs Dong Ju Kim

Dong Ju Kim50%
Kosuke Ogura50%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$66.6
Spread94%
ResolvesOct 8, 2026in 7 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 30, 01:50 PMSep 30, 04:55 PMSep 30, 07:59 PMSep 30, 11:04 PM

No recorded data before Sep 30 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Kosuke Ogura and Dong Ju Kim in the M15 Luan, originally scheduled for September 30, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to “Kosuke Ogura” if Kosuke Ogura wins the first set. It will resolve to “Dong Ju Kim” if Dong Ju Kim wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by October 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF match statistics. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

Sourcehttps://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
M15 Luan: Kosuke Ogura vs Dong Ju KimPolymarket56% Dong Ju KimOpen
M15 Luan, Main Draw: Completed Match: Kosuke Ogura vs Dong Ju KimPolymarket59% YesOpen
Ogura vs. Kim: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Set Handicap: Kosuke Ogura (-1.5) vs Dong Ju Kim (+1.5)Polymarket50% Kosuke OguraOpen
Ogura vs. Kim: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Ogura vs. Kim: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Kosuke Ogura vs. Dong Ju Kim: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket50% Under 2.5Open
Set Handicap: Dong Ju Kim (-1.5) vs Kosuke Ogura (+1.5)Polymarket50% Dong Ju KimOpen
Ogura vs. Kim: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Ogura vs. Kim: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Set 2 Winner: Kosuke Ogura vs Dong Ju KimPolymarket50% Dong Ju KimOpen
Ogura vs. Kim: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Ogura vs. Kim: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Ogura vs. Kim: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Ogura vs. Kim: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen

Venue activity

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As of Sep 30, 11:04 PM UTC