M15 Luan: Kosuke Ogura vs Dong Ju Kim
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Probability history
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No recorded data before Sep 30 in this window.
Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market refers to the tennis match between Kosuke Ogura and Dong Ju Kim in the M15 Luan, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 30, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kosuke Ogura' if Kosuke Ogura advances against Dong Ju Kim. This market will resolve to 'Dong Ju Kim' if Dong Ju Kim advances against Kosuke Ogura. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sourcehttps://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| M15 Luan, Main Draw: Completed Match: Kosuke Ogura vs Dong Ju Kim | Polymarket | 53% Yes | Open |
| Set 1 Winner: Kosuke Ogura vs Dong Ju Kim | Polymarket | 50% Dong Ju Kim | Open |
| Ogura vs. Kim: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 | Polymarket | 51% Under | Open |
| Set Handicap: Kosuke Ogura (-1.5) vs Dong Ju Kim (+1.5) | Polymarket | 50% Kosuke Ogura | Open |
| Ogura vs. Kim: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 | Polymarket | 51% Under | Open |
| Ogura vs. Kim: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 | Polymarket | 51% Under | Open |
| Kosuke Ogura vs. Dong Ju Kim: Total Sets O/U 2.5 | Polymarket | 50% Under 2.5 | Open |
| Set Handicap: Dong Ju Kim (-1.5) vs Kosuke Ogura (+1.5) | Polymarket | 50% Dong Ju Kim | Open |
| Ogura vs. Kim: Match O/U 21.5 | Polymarket | 51% Under | Open |
| Ogura vs. Kim: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 | Polymarket | 51% Under | Open |
| Set 2 Winner: Kosuke Ogura vs Dong Ju Kim | Polymarket | 50% Dong Ju Kim | Open |
| Ogura vs. Kim: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 | Polymarket | 51% Under | Open |
| Ogura vs. Kim: Match O/U 22.5 | Polymarket | 51% Under | Open |
| Ogura vs. Kim: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 | Polymarket | 51% Under | Open |
| Ogura vs. Kim: Match O/U 23.5 | Polymarket | 51% Under | Open |
Venue activity
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As of Sep 30, 06:58 PM UTC