PolymarketOpen

Will it rain in Chicago, IL on October 1?

Yes50%
No50%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$8.4
Spread98%
ResolvesOct 2, 2026in 2 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 30, 10:16 AMSep 30, 12:41 PMSep 30, 03:05 PMSep 30, 05:30 PM

No recorded data before Sep 30 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chicago, IL records measurable precipitation on October 1, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station. A report of trace ("T") does not qualify. The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types. The observation period is the NWS climate day for KMDW: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning. This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KMDW, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=MDW.

Sourcehttps://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=MDW

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will it rain in New York, NY on October 1?Polymarket94% NoOpen
Will it rain in Miami, FL on October 1?Polymarket92% YesOpen
Will it rain in Los Angeles, CA on October 1?Polymarket95% NoOpen
Will it rain in Boston, MA on October 1?Polymarket94% NoOpen
Will it rain in New Orleans, LA on October 1?Polymarket62% YesOpen
Will it rain in Philadelphia, PA on October 1?Polymarket94% NoOpen
Will it rain in Phoenix, AZ on October 1?Polymarket95% NoOpen
Will it rain in Washington, DC on October 1?Polymarket94% NoOpen
Will it rain in Houston, TX on October 1?Polymarket50% NoOpen
Will it rain in Seattle, WA on October 1?Polymarket93% NoOpen
Will it rain in San Francisco, CA on October 1?Polymarket94% NoOpen
Will it rain in Atlanta, GA on October 1?Polymarket95% NoOpen
Will it rain in Dallas, TX on October 1?Polymarket93% YesOpen

Venue activity

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As of Sep 30, 06:20 PM UTC