Will it rain in Washington, DC on October 1?
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Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
No recorded data before Sep 30 in this window.
Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Washington, DC records measurable precipitation on October 1, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station. A report of trace ("T") does not qualify. The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types. The observation period is the NWS climate day for KDCA: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning. This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KDCA, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=DCA.
Sourcehttps://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=DCA
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will it rain in New York, NY on October 1? | Polymarket | 94% No | Open |
| Will it rain in Miami, FL on October 1? | Polymarket | 93% Yes | Open |
| Will it rain in Los Angeles, CA on October 1? | Polymarket | 76% No | Open |
| Will it rain in Boston, MA on October 1? | Polymarket | 94% No | Open |
| Will it rain in New Orleans, LA on October 1? | Polymarket | 70% Yes | Open |
| Will it rain in Philadelphia, PA on October 1? | Polymarket | 94% No | Open |
| Will it rain in Phoenix, AZ on October 1? | Polymarket | 76% No | Open |
| Will it rain in Chicago, IL on October 1? | Polymarket | 50% Yes | Open |
| Will it rain in Houston, TX on October 1? | Polymarket | 50% No | Open |
| Will it rain in Seattle, WA on October 1? | Polymarket | 94% No | Open |
| Will it rain in San Francisco, CA on October 1? | Polymarket | 95% No | Open |
| Will it rain in Atlanta, GA on October 1? | Polymarket | 95% No | Open |
| Will it rain in Dallas, TX on October 1? | Polymarket | 95% Yes | Open |
Venue activity
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As of Sep 30, 10:50 PM UTC