PolymarketOpen

Game Spread: Bernard Tomic (-1.5) vs Yuta Shimizu (+1.5)

Bernard Tomic55%
Yuta Shimizu45%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$2.4
Spread97%
ResolvesOct 8, 2026in 7 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 30, 02:22 PMSep 30, 03:08 PMSep 30, 03:53 PMSep 30, 04:39 PM

No recorded data before Sep 30 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Bernard Tomic" if Bernard Tomic wins 1.5 or more total games than Yuta Shimizu in the upcoming tennis match, scheduled for September 30, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Yuta Shimizu". Games won will be counted across all sets played in the match. A set decided by a tiebreak will count as one game for the winner of that tiebreak, and a match tiebreak played in place of a final set will also count as one game for its winner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), or is delayed beyond 14 days from the scheduled date without completion at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the match ends at a point where Bernard Tomic could no longer have finished 1.5 or more games ahead even by winning every remaining game, this market will resolve to "Yuta Shimizu". If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Sourcehttps://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Jingshan: Completed Match: Yuta Shimizu vs Bernard TomicPolymarket54% YesOpen
Shimizu vs. Tomic: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket60% OverOpen
Shimizu vs. Tomic: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket79% OverOpen
Shimizu vs. Tomic: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Shimizu vs. Tomic: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Shimizu vs. Tomic: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket54% UnderOpen
Shimizu vs. Tomic: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Shimizu vs. Tomic: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket51% OverOpen
Set 2 Winner: Yuta Shimizu vs Bernard TomicPolymarket68% Yuta ShimizuOpen
Yuta Shimizu vs. Bernard Tomic: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket59% Under 2.5Open
Set Handicap: Bernard Tomic (-1.5) vs Yuta Shimizu (+1.5)Polymarket63% Yuta ShimizuOpen
Shimizu vs. Tomic: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket71% UnderOpen
Set 1 Winner: Yuta Shimizu vs Bernard TomicPolymarket58% Bernard TomicOpen
Shimizu vs. Tomic: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Set Handicap: Yuta Shimizu (-1.5) vs Bernard Tomic (+1.5)Polymarket78% Bernard TomicOpen
Yuta Shimizu vs Bernard Tomic: Yuta Shimizu winsPolymarket61% Bernard TomicOpen

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As of Sep 30, 04:44 PM UTC