PolymarketOpen

Shimizu vs. Tomic: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5

Under51%
Over50%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$10.2
Spread97%
ResolvesOct 8, 2026in 8 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 29, 02:51 PMSep 29, 09:43 PMSep 30, 04:34 AMSep 30, 11:26 AM

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Yuta Shimizu and Bernard Tomic in the Jingshan, originally scheduled for September 30, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 10. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game. If the match is postponed or suspended, this market will remain open until the first set has been completed. A postponement alone will not trigger a 50-50 resolution. If the match is permanently abandoned before the first set is completed, or if the first set has not been completed by October 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play. An outcome is considered unconditionally determined if it would have been guaranteed under every possible completion of the set played according to the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round, including whether the set is decided by a tiebreak. For example, for a line of 9.5, if play stops with the first set at 5-4, completing the set would have required at least 1 additional game, resulting in at least 10 games played, so "Over" would resolve as the winning outcome. The primary resolution source for this market will be official Challenger statistics; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

Sourcehttps://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Jingshan: Completed Match: Yuta Shimizu vs Bernard TomicPolymarket54% YesOpen
Shimizu vs. Tomic: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Shimizu vs. Tomic: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Shimizu vs. Tomic: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Shimizu vs. Tomic: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Shimizu vs. Tomic: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket52% UnderOpen
Shimizu vs. Tomic: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Shimizu vs. Tomic: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Set 2 Winner: Yuta Shimizu vs Bernard TomicPolymarket69% Yuta ShimizuOpen
Yuta Shimizu vs. Bernard Tomic: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket50% Under 2.5Open
Set Handicap: Bernard Tomic (-1.5) vs Yuta Shimizu (+1.5)Polymarket50% Yuta ShimizuOpen
Shimizu vs. Tomic: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Set 1 Winner: Yuta Shimizu vs Bernard TomicPolymarket70% Yuta ShimizuOpen
Set Handicap: Yuta Shimizu (-1.5) vs Bernard Tomic (+1.5)Polymarket50% Yuta ShimizuOpen
Game Spread: Bernard Tomic (-1.5) vs Yuta Shimizu (+1.5)Polymarket—Open
Yuta Shimizu vs Bernard Tomic: Yuta Shimizu winsPolymarket58% Bernard TomicOpen

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As of Sep 30, 11:35 AM UTC