PolymarketOpen

Game Spread: Keegan Smith (-0.5) vs Bryce Nakashima (+0.5)

Keegan Smith50%
Bryce Nakashima50%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$4
Spread94%
ResolvesOct 8, 2026in 8 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 30, 05:50 AMSep 30, 08:23 AMSep 30, 10:56 AMSep 30, 01:29 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

No recorded data before Sep 30 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Keegan Smith" if Keegan Smith wins 0.5 or more total games than Bryce Nakashima in the upcoming tennis match, scheduled for October 1, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Bryce Nakashima". Games won will be counted across all sets played in the match. A set decided by a tiebreak will count as one game for the winner of that tiebreak, and a match tiebreak played in place of a final set will also count as one game for its winner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), or is delayed beyond 14 days from the scheduled date without completion at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the match ends at a point where Keegan Smith could no longer have finished 0.5 or more games ahead even by winning every remaining game, this market will resolve to "Bryce Nakashima". If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Sourcehttps://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Columbus: Completed Match: Bryce Nakashima vs Keegan SmithPolymarket54% YesOpen
Nakashima vs. Smith: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Set 2 Winner: Bryce Nakashima vs Keegan SmithPolymarket50% Bryce NakashimaOpen
Nakashima vs. Smith: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Nakashima vs. Smith: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket52% UnderOpen
Set 1 Winner: Bryce Nakashima vs Keegan SmithPolymarket50% Bryce NakashimaOpen
Bryce Nakashima vs. Keegan Smith: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket50% Under 2.5Open
Nakashima vs. Smith: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Nakashima vs. Smith: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket62% OverOpen
Nakashima vs. Smith: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Nakashima vs. Smith: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Nakashima vs. Smith: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket57% OverOpen
Set Handicap: Keegan Smith (-1.5) vs Bryce Nakashima (+1.5)Polymarket50% Bryce NakashimaOpen
Set Handicap: Bryce Nakashima (-1.5) vs Keegan Smith (+1.5)Polymarket50% Keegan SmithOpen
Nakashima vs. Smith: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Bryce Nakashima vs Keegan Smith: Bryce Nakashima winsPolymarket55% Keegan SmithOpen

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As of Sep 30, 01:35 PM UTC