PolymarketOpen

Set 1 Winner: Bryce Nakashima vs Keegan Smith

Bryce Nakashima50%

Keegan Smith50%

Price checked at Sep 30, 01:27 PM UTC

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24h volume—

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity$81.2

Spread90%

ResolvesOct 8, 2026in 8 days

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Bryce Nakashima and Keegan Smith in the Columbus, originally scheduled for October 1, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Bryce Nakashima” if Bryce Nakashima wins the first set. It will resolve to “Keegan Smith” if Keegan Smith wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger match statistics. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

Sourcehttps://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Columbus: Completed Match: Bryce Nakashima vs Keegan Smith	Polymarket	54% Yes	—	—	—	Open
Nakashima vs. Smith: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5	Polymarket	51% Under	—	—	—	Open
Set 2 Winner: Bryce Nakashima vs Keegan Smith	Polymarket	50% Bryce Nakashima	—	—	—	Open
Nakashima vs. Smith: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5	Polymarket	51% Under	—	—	—	Open
Nakashima vs. Smith: Match O/U 23.5	Polymarket	52% Under	—	—	—	Open
Bryce Nakashima vs. Keegan Smith: Total Sets O/U 2.5	Polymarket	50% Under 2.5	—	—	—	Open
Nakashima vs. Smith: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5	Polymarket	51% Under	—	—	—	Open
Nakashima vs. Smith: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5	Polymarket	62% Over	—	—	—	Open
Nakashima vs. Smith: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5	Polymarket	51% Under	—	—	—	Open
Nakashima vs. Smith: Match O/U 21.5	Polymarket	51% Under	—	—	—	Open
Nakashima vs. Smith: Match O/U 22.5	Polymarket	57% Over	—	—	—	Open
Set Handicap: Keegan Smith (-1.5) vs Bryce Nakashima (+1.5)	Polymarket	50% Bryce Nakashima	—	—	—	Open
Set Handicap: Bryce Nakashima (-1.5) vs Keegan Smith (+1.5)	Polymarket	50% Keegan Smith	—	—	—	Open
Nakashima vs. Smith: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5	Polymarket	51% Under	—	—	—	Open
Game Spread: Keegan Smith (-0.5) vs Bryce Nakashima (+0.5)	Polymarket	50% Keegan Smith	—	—	—	Open
Bryce Nakashima vs Keegan Smith: Bryce Nakashima wins	Polymarket	55% Keegan Smith	$6	—	—	Open

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As of Sep 30, 01:38 PM UTC