PolymarketOpen

Game Spread: Lautaro Midon (-5.5) vs Bruno Fernandez (+5.5)

Bruno Fernandez51%
Lautaro Midon49%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$11.2
Spread12%
ResolvesOct 7, 2026in 7 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 29, 10:52 PMSep 30, 12:37 AMSep 30, 02:22 AMSep 30, 04:07 AM

No recorded data before Sep 29 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Lautaro Midon" if Lautaro Midon wins 5.5 or more total games than Bruno Fernandez in the upcoming tennis match, scheduled for September 30, 2026 at 10:30AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Bruno Fernandez". Games won will be counted across all sets played in the match. A set decided by a tiebreak will count as one game for the winner of that tiebreak, and a match tiebreak played in place of a final set will also count as one game for its winner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), or is delayed beyond 14 days from the scheduled date without completion at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the match ends at a point where Lautaro Midon could no longer have finished 5.5 or more games ahead even by winning every remaining game, this market will resolve to "Bruno Fernandez". If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Sourcehttps://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Curitiba: Completed Match: Bruno Fernandez vs Lautaro MidonPolymarket53% YesOpen
Bruno Fernandez vs Lautaro Midon: Bruno Fernandez winsPolymarket84% Lautaro MidonOpen
Set Handicap: Lautaro Midon (-1.5) vs Bruno Fernandez (+1.5)Polymarket50% Lautaro MidonOpen
Fernandez vs. Midon: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Set 2 Winner: Bruno Fernandez vs Lautaro MidonPolymarket58% Bruno FernandezOpen
Fernandez vs. Midon: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Fernandez vs. Midon: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Set 1 Winner: Bruno Fernandez vs Lautaro MidonPolymarket58% Bruno FernandezOpen
Fernandez vs. Midon: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Fernandez vs. Midon: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Fernandez vs. Midon: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Fernandez vs. Midon: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Bruno Fernandez vs. Lautaro Midon: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket50% Over 2.5Open
Fernandez vs. Midon: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Fernandez vs. Midon: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen

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As of Sep 30, 04:47 AM UTC