PolymarketOpen

Set 1 Winner: Bruno Fernandez vs Lautaro Midon

Lautaro Midon79%
Bruno Fernandez21%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$171.3
Spread79%
ResolvesOct 7, 2026in 7 days

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 29, 10:50 PMSep 30, 02:50 AMSep 30, 06:51 AMSep 30, 10:51 AMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

No recorded data before Sep 29 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Bruno Fernandez and Lautaro Midon in the Curitiba, originally scheduled for September 30, 2026 at 10:30AM ET. This market will resolve to “Bruno Fernandez” if Bruno Fernandez wins the first set. It will resolve to “Lautaro Midon” if Lautaro Midon wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by October 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger match statistics. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

Sourcehttps://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Curitiba: Completed Match: Bruno Fernandez vs Lautaro MidonPolymarket54% YesOpen
Set Handicap: Lautaro Midon (-1.5) vs Bruno Fernandez (+1.5)Polymarket67% Lautaro MidonOpen
Fernandez vs. Midon: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Set 2 Winner: Bruno Fernandez vs Lautaro MidonPolymarket50% Bruno FernandezOpen
Fernandez vs. Midon: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Fernandez vs. Midon: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Fernandez vs. Midon: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket66% UnderOpen
Fernandez vs. Midon: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Fernandez vs. Midon: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket57% OverOpen
Fernandez vs. Midon: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Bruno Fernandez vs. Lautaro Midon: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket74% Under 2.5Open
Fernandez vs. Midon: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Fernandez vs. Midon: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Game Spread: Lautaro Midon (-5.5) vs Bruno Fernandez (+5.5)Polymarket52% Lautaro MidonOpen
Bruno Fernandez vs Lautaro Midon: Bruno Fernandez winsPolymarket88% Lautaro MidonOpen

Venue activity

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As of Sep 30, 11:23 AM UTC