PolymarketOpen

Set 1 Winner: Benjamin Lock vs Rafael De Alba

Rafael De Alba60%
Benjamin Lock40%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$82
Spread84%
ResolvesOct 7, 2026in 7 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 29, 07:51 PMSep 29, 10:01 PMSep 30, 12:11 AMSep 30, 02:21 AM

No recorded data before Sep 29 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Benjamin Lock and Rafael De Alba in the M25 Kigali, originally scheduled for September 30, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Benjamin Lock” if Benjamin Lock wins the first set. It will resolve to “Rafael De Alba” if Rafael De Alba wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by October 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF match statistics. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

Sourcehttps://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
M25 Kigali, Main Draw: Completed Match: Benjamin Lock vs Rafael De AlbaPolymarket54% YesOpen
M25 Kigali: Benjamin Lock vs Rafael De AlbaPolymarket78% Benjamin LockOpen
Benjamin Lock vs. Rafael De Alba: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket61% Over 2.5Open
Set Handicap: Benjamin Lock (-1.5) vs Rafael De Alba (+1.5)Polymarket50% Benjamin LockOpen
Set 2 Winner: Benjamin Lock vs Rafael De AlbaPolymarket50% Benjamin LockOpen
Lock vs. Alba: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Lock vs. Alba: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Lock vs. Alba: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Lock vs. Alba: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Lock vs. Alba: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Lock vs. Alba: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket58% OverOpen
Lock vs. Alba: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Lock vs. Alba: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Lock vs. Alba: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket64% UnderOpen
Set Handicap: Rafael De Alba (-1.5) vs Benjamin Lock (+1.5)Polymarket50% Benjamin LockOpen

Venue activity

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As of Sep 30, 02:45 AM UTC