PolymarketOpen

M25 Kigali: Benjamin Lock vs Rafael De Alba

Benjamin Lock78%
Rafael De Alba22%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$175.9
Spread38%
ResolvesOct 7, 2026in 7 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 29, 07:04 PMSep 29, 09:12 PMSep 29, 11:19 PMSep 30, 01:27 AMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

No recorded data before Sep 29 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Benjamin Lock and Rafael De Alba in the M25 Kigali, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 30, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Benjamin Lock' if Benjamin Lock advances against Rafael De Alba. This market will resolve to 'Rafael De Alba' if Rafael De Alba advances against Benjamin Lock. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Sourcehttps://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
M25 Kigali, Main Draw: Completed Match: Benjamin Lock vs Rafael De AlbaPolymarket54% YesOpen
Benjamin Lock vs. Rafael De Alba: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket50% Under 2.5Open
Set Handicap: Benjamin Lock (-1.5) vs Rafael De Alba (+1.5)Polymarket50% Benjamin LockOpen
Set 2 Winner: Benjamin Lock vs Rafael De AlbaPolymarket50% Benjamin LockOpen
Lock vs. Alba: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Lock vs. Alba: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Lock vs. Alba: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Lock vs. Alba: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Lock vs. Alba: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Lock vs. Alba: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Lock vs. Alba: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Lock vs. Alba: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Lock vs. Alba: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Set Handicap: Rafael De Alba (-1.5) vs Benjamin Lock (+1.5)Polymarket50% Benjamin LockOpen
Set 1 Winner: Benjamin Lock vs Rafael De AlbaPolymarket50% Rafael De AlbaOpen

Venue activity

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As of Sep 30, 01:35 AM UTC