PolymarketOpen

Game Spread: Arthur Fils (-5.5) vs Luca Van Assche (+5.5)

Luca Van Assche58%
Arthur Fils42%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
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Liquidity$8.9K
Spread2%
ResolvesOct 7, 2026in 7 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 29, 02:52 PMSep 29, 05:41 PMSep 29, 08:30 PMSep 29, 11:19 PM

No recorded data before Sep 29 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Arthur Fils" if Arthur Fils wins 5.5 or more total games than Luca Van Assche in the upcoming tennis match, scheduled for September 30, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Luca Van Assche". Games won will be counted across all sets played in the match. A set decided by a tiebreak will count as one game for the winner of that tiebreak, and a match tiebreak played in place of a final set will also count as one game for its winner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), or is delayed beyond 14 days from the scheduled date without completion at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the match ends at a point where Arthur Fils could no longer have finished 5.5 or more games ahead even by winning every remaining game, this market will resolve to "Luca Van Assche". If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Sourcehttps://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Completed Match: Arthur Fils vs Luca Van AsschePolymarket54% YesOpen
Fils vs. Assche: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket77% UnderOpen
Arthur Fils vs. Luca Van Assche: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket70% Under 2.5Open
Fils vs. Assche: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket57% UnderOpen
Fils vs. Assche: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Fils vs. Assche: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket63% UnderOpen
Fils vs. Assche: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket71% OverOpen
Fils vs. Assche: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Fils vs. Assche: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Fils vs. Assche: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket57% UnderOpen
Fils vs. Assche: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket63% UnderOpen
Set 1 Winner: Arthur Fils vs Luca Van AsschePolymarket77% Arthur FilsOpen
Set 2 Winner: Arthur Fils vs Luca Van AsschePolymarket79% Arthur FilsOpen
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Arthur Fils vs Luca Van AsschePolymarket86% Arthur FilsOpen
Set Handicap: Arthur Fils (-1.5) vs Luca Van Assche (+1.5)Polymarket63% Arthur FilsOpen

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As of Sep 30, 12:08 AM UTC