PolymarketOpen

Fils vs. Assche: Match O/U 22.5

Under63%
Over37%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$6.4
Spread8%
ResolvesOct 7, 2026in 7 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 29, 10:50 AMSep 29, 05:33 PMSep 30, 12:16 AMSep 30, 07:00 AM

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Arthur Fils and Luca Van Assche in the Japan Open Tennis Championships, originally scheduled for September 30, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed equals or exceeds 23. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks, including any Champions/Super tiebreak, count as one (1) game. If the match is postponed or suspended, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. A postponement alone will not trigger a 50-50 resolution. If the match is permanently abandoned before completion, or if the match has not been completed by October 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play. An outcome is considered unconditionally determined if it would have been guaranteed under every possible completion of the match played according to the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round, including whether a final set is played as a full set or as a match tiebreak. For example, for a line of 21.5, if play stops at 6-3, 5-6, completing the match would have required at least 2 additional games, resulting in at least 22 games played, so "Over" would resolve as the winning outcome. Likewise, if the published format replaces the final set with a match tiebreak, that tiebreak counts as one (1) game, so for a line of 22.5, if play stops at 6-2, 3-3, the match could have reached at most 22 games and "Under" would resolve as the winning outcome. The primary resolution source for this market will be official ATP statistics; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Sourcehttps://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Completed Match: Arthur Fils vs Luca Van AsschePolymarket54% YesOpen
Fils vs. Assche: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket76% UnderOpen
Arthur Fils vs. Luca Van Assche: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket70% Under 2.5Open
Fils vs. Assche: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket57% UnderOpen
Fils vs. Assche: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Fils vs. Assche: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket62% UnderOpen
Fils vs. Assche: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket69% OverOpen
Fils vs. Assche: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Fils vs. Assche: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Game Spread: Arthur Fils (-5.5) vs Luca Van Assche (+5.5)Polymarket58% Luca Van AsscheOpen
Set 1 Winner: Arthur Fils vs Luca Van AsschePolymarket78% Arthur FilsOpen
Set 2 Winner: Arthur Fils vs Luca Van AsschePolymarket79% Arthur FilsOpen
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Arthur Fils vs Luca Van AsschePolymarket86% Arthur FilsOpen
Set Handicap: Arthur Fils (-1.5) vs Luca Van Assche (+1.5)Polymarket64% Arthur FilsOpen
Fils vs. Assche: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket57% UnderOpen

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As of Sep 30, 07:07 AM UTC