PolymarketOpen

Set Handicap: Arthur Rinderknech (-1.5) vs Alex Molcan (+1.5)

Alex Molcan63%
Arthur Rinderknech37%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$19.8K
Spread2%
ResolvesOct 8, 2026in 7 days

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 29, 10:50 AMSep 29, 08:37 PMSep 30, 06:24 AMSep 30, 04:12 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Arthur Rinderknech and Alex Molcan in the China Open, originally scheduled for September 30, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Arthur Rinderknech" if Arthur Rinderknech wins by 2 or more sets than Alex Molcan, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Alex Molcan." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Arthur Rinderknech can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Alex Molcan." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by October 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP results.

Sourcehttps://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
China Open: Completed Match: Alex Molcan vs Arthur RinderknechPolymarket53% YesOpen
Molcan vs. Rinderknech: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket58% OverOpen
Game Spread: Arthur Rinderknech (-1.5) vs Alex Molcan (+1.5)Polymarket54% Arthur RinderknechOpen
Molcan vs. Rinderknech: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Alex Molcan vs. Arthur Rinderknech: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket60% Under 2.5Open
Molcan vs. Rinderknech: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket68% UnderOpen
Molcan vs. Rinderknech: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Molcan vs. Rinderknech: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Molcan vs. Rinderknech: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket56% UnderOpen
Molcan vs. Rinderknech: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket83% OverOpen
Molcan vs. Rinderknech: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket52% OverOpen
Set 2 Winner: Alex Molcan vs Arthur RinderknechPolymarket57% Arthur RinderknechOpen
Molcan vs. Rinderknech: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket61% OverOpen
China Open: Alex Molcan vs Arthur RinderknechPolymarket60% Arthur RinderknechOpen
Set 1 Winner: Alex Molcan vs Arthur RinderknechPolymarket56% Arthur RinderknechOpen

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As of Sep 30, 04:24 PM UTC