PolymarketOpen

Game Spread: Arthur Rinderknech (-1.5) vs Alex Molcan (+1.5)

Arthur Rinderknech55%
Alex Molcan45%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$15K
Spread3%
ResolvesOct 8, 2026in 7 days

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 29, 10:50 AMSep 29, 10:58 PMSep 30, 11:07 AMSep 30, 11:15 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Arthur Rinderknech" if Arthur Rinderknech wins 1.5 or more total games than Alex Molcan in the upcoming tennis match, scheduled for September 30, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Alex Molcan". Games won will be counted across all sets played in the match. A set decided by a tiebreak will count as one game for the winner of that tiebreak, and a match tiebreak played in place of a final set will also count as one game for its winner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), or is delayed beyond 14 days from the scheduled date without completion at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the match ends at a point where Arthur Rinderknech could no longer have finished 1.5 or more games ahead even by winning every remaining game, this market will resolve to "Alex Molcan". If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Sourcehttps://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Molcan vs. Rinderknech: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket58% OverOpen
Molcan vs. Rinderknech: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Alex Molcan vs. Arthur Rinderknech: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket60% Under 2.5Open
Molcan vs. Rinderknech: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket68% UnderOpen
Molcan vs. Rinderknech: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Molcan vs. Rinderknech: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Molcan vs. Rinderknech: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket56% UnderOpen
Molcan vs. Rinderknech: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket84% OverOpen
Molcan vs. Rinderknech: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket52% OverOpen
Set 2 Winner: Alex Molcan vs Arthur RinderknechPolymarket57% Arthur RinderknechOpen
Molcan vs. Rinderknech: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket62% OverOpen
Set Handicap: Arthur Rinderknech (-1.5) vs Alex Molcan (+1.5)Polymarket62% Alex MolcanOpen
China Open: Alex Molcan vs Arthur RinderknechPolymarket61% Arthur RinderknechOpen
China Open: Completed Match: Alex Molcan vs Arthur RinderknechPolymarket61% YesOpen
Set 1 Winner: Alex Molcan vs Arthur RinderknechPolymarket57% Arthur RinderknechOpen

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As of Sep 30, 11:31 PM UTC