KalshiOpen

Brazil presidential election first round: voter turnout: Will at least 130,000,000 votes, including blank and null votes, be cast in the first round of Brazil's 2026 presidential election?

No95%
At least 130,000,0006%

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24h volume$0
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Spread2%
ResolvesOct 11, 2026in 11 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 29, 03:26 AMSep 29, 11:43 AMSep 29, 08:00 PMSep 30, 04:17 AM

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If at least 130,000,000 valid, blank and null votes, in combination are cast in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. The count is the total of voters who voted (comparecimento) in the presidential contest of the first round of Brazil’s 2026 general election, as reported by the Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE), including those who cast blank or null votes. Registered voters, abstentions, justified absences and ballots in other contests do not count. Subject to the contract’s Fully-Conducted Elections and Accelerated Resolution Upon Designated Media Source Declarations provisions, the vote count refers to the officially certified results from the relevant election authority. Provisional, absentee, early, mail-in, or electronic ballots are included only if reflected in the official certification. The contract resolves based on officially certified results regardless of ongoing appeals. Outside those two contract provisions, preliminary counts, exit polls, projections, or uncertified results do not qualify.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Brazil presidential election first round: voter turnout: Will at least 124,000,000 votes, including blank and null votes, be cast in the first round of Brazil's 2026 presidential election?Kalshi67% At least 124,000,000Open
Brazil presidential election first round: voter turnout: Will at least 128,000,000 votes, including blank and null votes, be cast in the first round of Brazil's 2026 presidential election?Kalshi87% NoOpen
Brazil presidential election first round: voter turnout: Will at least 126,000,000 votes, including blank and null votes, be cast in the first round of Brazil's 2026 presidential election?Kalshi69% NoOpen
Brazil presidential election first round: voter turnout: Will at least 132,000,000 votes, including blank and null votes, be cast in the first round of Brazil's 2026 presidential election?Kalshi96% NoOpen
Brazil presidential election first round: voter turnout: Will at least 120,000,000 votes, including blank and null votes, be cast in the first round of Brazil's 2026 presidential election?Kalshi96% At least 120,000,000Open
Brazil presidential election first round: voter turnout: Will at least 122,000,000 votes, including blank and null votes, be cast in the first round of Brazil's 2026 presidential election?Kalshi90% At least 122,000,000Open
Brazil presidential election first round: voter turnout: Will at least 116,000,000 votes, including blank and null votes, be cast in the first round of Brazil's 2026 presidential election?Kalshi99% At least 116,000,000Open
Brazil presidential election first round: voter turnout: Will at least 118,000,000 votes, including blank and null votes, be cast in the first round of Brazil's 2026 presidential election?Kalshi99% At least 118,000,000Open

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As of Sep 30, 04:52 AM UTC