PolymarketOpen

Potenza vs. Montes: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5

Under64%
Over36%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$762.6
Spread70%
ResolvesOct 6, 2026in 7 days

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 28, 10:49 PMSep 29, 06:47 AMSep 29, 02:45 PMSep 29, 10:43 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Luca Potenza and Inaki Montes in the Porto 2, originally scheduled for September 29, 2026 at 10:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 9. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game. If the match is postponed or suspended, this market will remain open until the first set has been completed. A postponement alone will not trigger a 50-50 resolution. If the match is permanently abandoned before the first set is completed, or if the first set has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play. An outcome is considered unconditionally determined if it would have been guaranteed under every possible completion of the set played according to the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round, including whether the set is decided by a tiebreak. For example, for a line of 9.5, if play stops with the first set at 5-4, completing the set would have required at least 1 additional game, resulting in at least 10 games played, so "Over" would resolve as the winning outcome. The primary resolution source for this market will be official Challenger statistics; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

Sourcehttps://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Set 1 Winner: Luca Potenza vs Inaki MontesPolymarket63% Inaki MontesOpen
Set 2 Winner: Luca Potenza vs Inaki MontesPolymarket50% Inaki MontesOpen
Potenza vs. Montes: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket57% UnderOpen
Potenza vs. Montes: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Potenza vs. Montes: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket61% OverOpen
Potenza vs. Montes: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Potenza vs. Montes: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Set Handicap: Luca Potenza (-1.5) vs Inaki Montes (+1.5)Polymarket83% Inaki MontesOpen
Potenza vs. Montes: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Potenza vs. Montes: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Porto 2: Completed Match: Luca Potenza vs Inaki MontesPolymarket60% YesOpen
Porto 2: Luca Potenza vs Inaki MontesPolymarket70% Inaki MontesOpen
Set Handicap: Inaki Montes (-1.5) vs Luca Potenza (+1.5)Polymarket53% Luca PotenzaOpen
Potenza vs. Montes: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Luca Potenza vs. Inaki Montes: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket62% Under 2.5Open

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As of Sep 29, 11:06 PM UTC