PolymarketOpen

Set 1 Winner: Luca Potenza vs Inaki Montes

Inaki Montes63%
Luca Potenza38%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$9.8K
Spread5%
ResolvesOct 6, 2026in 7 days

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 28, 10:49 PMSep 29, 06:47 AMSep 29, 02:45 PMSep 29, 10:43 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Luca Potenza and Inaki Montes in the Porto 2, originally scheduled for September 29, 2026 at 10:30AM ET. This market will resolve to “Luca Potenza” if Luca Potenza wins the first set. It will resolve to “Inaki Montes” if Inaki Montes wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger match statistics. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

Sourcehttps://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Potenza vs. Montes: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket64% UnderOpen
Set 2 Winner: Luca Potenza vs Inaki MontesPolymarket50% Inaki MontesOpen
Potenza vs. Montes: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket57% UnderOpen
Potenza vs. Montes: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Potenza vs. Montes: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket61% OverOpen
Potenza vs. Montes: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Potenza vs. Montes: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Set Handicap: Luca Potenza (-1.5) vs Inaki Montes (+1.5)Polymarket83% Inaki MontesOpen
Potenza vs. Montes: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Potenza vs. Montes: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Porto 2: Completed Match: Luca Potenza vs Inaki MontesPolymarket60% YesOpen
Porto 2: Luca Potenza vs Inaki MontesPolymarket70% Inaki MontesOpen
Set Handicap: Inaki Montes (-1.5) vs Luca Potenza (+1.5)Polymarket53% Luca PotenzaOpen
Potenza vs. Montes: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Luca Potenza vs. Inaki Montes: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket62% Under 2.5Open

Venue activity

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As of Sep 29, 10:57 PM UTC