KalshiOpen

Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.5 on Sep 29, 2026? 38.5%

No99%
38.5%1%

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24h volume$47.5K
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread1%
ResolvesSep 29, 20265 hours ago

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 28, 05:13 PMSep 29, 02:53 AMSep 29, 12:34 PMSep 29, 10:14 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 38.5% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Sep 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The value in the "Approve" column of the "RCP Average" row of the table titled "President Trump Job Approval" will be the sole resolution source for this event.

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As of Sep 29, 10:28 PM UTC