KalshiOpen

Will Trump's RCP approval average be below 38.4 on Sep 29, 2026? Below 38.4%

No99%

Below 38.4%1%

Price checked at Sep 29, 07:42 PM UTC

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24h volume$31K

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread1%

ResolvesSep 29, 20263 hours ago

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Trump's RCP approval average is below 38.4% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Sep 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The value in the "Approve" column of the "RCP Average" row of the table titled "President Trump Job Approval" will be the sole resolution source for this event.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.7 on Sep 29, 2026? 38.7%	Kalshi	99% No	$87.7K	—	—	Open
Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.8 on Sep 29, 2026? 38.8%	Kalshi	99% No	$62.9K	—	—	Open
Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.9 on Sep 29, 2026? 38.9%	Kalshi	99% 38.9%	$54.5K	—	—	Open
Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.6 on Sep 29, 2026? 38.6%	Kalshi	99% No	$48.1K	—	—	Open
Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.5 on Sep 29, 2026? 38.5%	Kalshi	99% No	$47.5K	—	—	Open
Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 39.0 on Sep 29, 2026? 39.0%	Kalshi	99% No	$47.3K	—	—	Open
Will Trump's RCP approval average be above 39.0 on Sep 29, 2026? Above 39.0%	Kalshi	97% No	$46.1K	—	—	Open
Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.4 on Sep 29, 2026? 38.4%	Kalshi	99% No	$26.5K	—	—	Open

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As of Sep 29, 08:26 PM UTC