PolymarketResolved

Set Handicap: Arthur Gea (-1.5) vs Tomas Machac (+1.5)

Arthur Gea100%
Tomas Machac0%

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ResolvesOct 6, 2026in 4 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 28, 01:27 PMSep 29, 11:40 AMSep 30, 09:52 AMOct 1, 08:05 AMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Arthur Gea and Tomas Machac in the China Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Arthur Gea" if Arthur Gea wins by 2 or more sets than Tomas Machac, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Tomas Machac." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Arthur Gea can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Tomas Machac." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP results.

Sourcehttps://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
China Open, Qualification: Completed Match: Tomas Machac vs Arthur GeaPolymarket100% YesOpen
China Open, Qualification: Tomas Machac vs Arthur GeaPolymarket100% Arthur GeaOpen
Tomas Machac vs. Arthur Gea: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket100% Under 2.5Open
Game Spread: Arthur Gea (-1.5) vs Tomas Machac (+1.5)Polymarket100% Arthur GeaOpen
Machac vs. Gea: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket100% OverOpen
Machac vs. Gea: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Set 1 Winner: Tomas Machac vs Arthur GeaPolymarket100% Arthur GeaOpen
Machac vs. Gea: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Machac vs. Gea: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket100% OverOpen
Machac vs. Gea: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket100% OverOpen
Set 2 Winner: Tomas Machac vs Arthur GeaPolymarket100% Arthur GeaOpen
Machac vs. Gea: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Machac vs. Gea: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Machac vs. Gea: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Machac vs. Gea: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket96% UnderOpen

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As of Oct 1, 11:50 PM UTC