China Open, Qualification: Tomas Machac vs Arthur Gea
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market refers to the tennis match between Tomas Machac and Arthur Gea in the China Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tomas Machac' if Tomas Machac advances against Arthur Gea. This market will resolve to 'Arthur Gea' if Arthur Gea advances against Tomas Machac. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sourcehttps://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tomas Machac vs. Arthur Gea: Total Sets O/U 2.5 | Polymarket | 100% Under 2.5 | Open |
| Game Spread: Arthur Gea (-1.5) vs Tomas Machac (+1.5) | Polymarket | 98% Arthur Gea | Open |
| Machac vs. Gea: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 | Polymarket | 100% Over | Open |
| Machac vs. Gea: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 | Polymarket | 50% Over | Open |
| Set 1 Winner: Tomas Machac vs Arthur Gea | Polymarket | 53% Arthur Gea | Open |
| Machac vs. Gea: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 | Polymarket | 100% Under | Open |
| Machac vs. Gea: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 | Polymarket | 100% Over | Open |
| Machac vs. Gea: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 | Polymarket | 50% Over | Open |
| Set 2 Winner: Tomas Machac vs Arthur Gea | Polymarket | 96% Arthur Gea | Open |
| Machac vs. Gea: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 | Polymarket | 50% Over | Open |
| Machac vs. Gea: Match O/U 21.5 | Polymarket | 50% Over | Open |
| Set Handicap: Arthur Gea (-1.5) vs Tomas Machac (+1.5) | Polymarket | 96% Arthur Gea | Open |
| China Open, Qualification: Completed Match: Tomas Machac vs Arthur Gea | Polymarket | 50% Yes | Open |
| Machac vs. Gea: Match O/U 22.5 | Polymarket | 96% Under | Open |
| Machac vs. Gea: Match O/U 23.5 | Polymarket | 50% Under | Open |
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As of Oct 1, 07:51 AM UTC