PolymarketOpen

Set Handicap: Jakub Mensik (-1.5) vs Alexander Bublik (+1.5)

Alexander Bublik60%
Jakub Mensik41%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$23.5K
Spread3%
ResolvesOct 7, 2026in 7 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 28, 10:51 AMSep 28, 10:36 PMSep 29, 10:21 AMSep 29, 10:06 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Jakub Mensik and Alexander Bublik in the China Open, originally scheduled for September 29, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Jakub Mensik" if Jakub Mensik wins by 2 or more sets than Alexander Bublik, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Alexander Bublik." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Jakub Mensik can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Alexander Bublik." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP results.

Sourcehttps://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Set 2 Winner: Alexander Bublik vs Jakub MensikPolymarket57% Jakub MensikOpen
Bublik vs. Mensik: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket59% UnderOpen
Bublik vs. Mensik: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket61% OverOpen
Bublik vs. Mensik: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket59% OverOpen
Bublik vs. Mensik: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Bublik vs. Mensik: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Game Spread: Jakub Mensik (-2.5) vs Alexander Bublik (+2.5)Polymarket52% Alexander BublikOpen
Bublik vs. Mensik: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Bublik vs. Mensik: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
China Open: Alexander Bublik vs Jakub MensikPolymarket61% Jakub MensikOpen
China Open: Completed Match: Alexander Bublik vs Jakub MensikPolymarket52% YesOpen
Alexander Bublik vs. Jakub Mensik: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket62% Under 2.5Open
Set 1 Winner: Alexander Bublik vs Jakub MensikPolymarket59% Jakub MensikOpen
Bublik vs. Mensik: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket56% UnderOpen
Bublik vs. Mensik: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket52% OverOpen

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As of Sep 29, 10:17 PM UTC