PolymarketOpen

Set 1 Winner: Alexander Bublik vs Jakub Mensik

Jakub Mensik59%
Alexander Bublik42%

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24h volume$45.5
7d volume$45.5
30d volume$45.5
Liquidity$15.9K
Spread2%
ResolvesOct 7, 2026in 7 days

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 28, 10:51 AMSep 28, 10:15 PMSep 29, 09:39 AMSep 29, 09:03 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Alexander Bublik and Jakub Mensik in the China Open, originally scheduled for September 29, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to “Alexander Bublik” if Alexander Bublik wins the first set. It will resolve to “Jakub Mensik” if Jakub Mensik wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP match statistics.

Sourcehttps://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
China Open: Completed Match: Alexander Bublik vs Jakub MensikPolymarket52% YesOpen
Set 2 Winner: Alexander Bublik vs Jakub MensikPolymarket57% Jakub MensikOpen
Bublik vs. Mensik: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket59% UnderOpen
Bublik vs. Mensik: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket51% OverOpen
Bublik vs. Mensik: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket61% OverOpen
Set Handicap: Jakub Mensik (-1.5) vs Alexander Bublik (+1.5)Polymarket60% Alexander BublikOpen
Bublik vs. Mensik: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Bublik vs. Mensik: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Game Spread: Jakub Mensik (-2.5) vs Alexander Bublik (+2.5)Polymarket53% Alexander BublikOpen
Bublik vs. Mensik: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Bublik vs. Mensik: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
China Open: Alexander Bublik vs Jakub MensikPolymarket61% Jakub MensikOpen
Alexander Bublik vs. Jakub Mensik: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket62% Under 2.5Open
Bublik vs. Mensik: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket55% UnderOpen
Bublik vs. Mensik: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket52% OverOpen

Venue activity

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As of Sep 29, 09:27 PM UTC