PolymarketResolved

Set 2 Winner: Neo Niedner vs Connor Smillie

Neo Niedner100%
Connor Smillie0%

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This market has settled. The prices shown are final.
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24h volume—
7d volume—
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Liquidity$0
Spread19%
ResolvesOct 5, 2026in 4 days

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 28, 01:46 AMSep 29, 12:31 AMSep 29, 11:15 PMSep 30, 09:59 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Neo Niedner and Connor Smillie in the M15 Fayetteville, AR, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to “Neo Niedner” if Neo Niedner wins set 2. It will resolve to “Connor Smillie” if Connor Smillie wins set 2. If the match begins but set 2 is not completed with a winner determined (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF match statistics.

Sourcehttps://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
M15 Fayetteville, AR: Neo Niedner vs Connor SmilliePolymarket100% Neo NiednerOpen
M15 Fayetteville, AR, Qualifying: Completed Match: Neo Niedner vs Connor SmilliePolymarket100% YesOpen
Niedner vs. Smillie: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Neo Niedner vs. Connor Smillie: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket100% Under 2.5Open
Set 1 Winner: Neo Niedner vs Connor SmilliePolymarket100% Neo NiednerOpen
Niedner vs. Smillie: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Niedner vs. Smillie: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket100% OverOpen
Niedner vs. Smillie: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Niedner vs. Smillie: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Niedner vs. Smillie: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Niedner vs. Smillie: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Set Handicap: Neo Niedner (-1.5) vs Connor Smillie (+1.5)Polymarket100% Neo NiednerOpen
Set Handicap: Connor Smillie (-1.5) vs Neo Niedner (+1.5)Polymarket100% Neo NiednerOpen
Niedner vs. Smillie: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket100% OverOpen
Niedner vs. Smillie: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket100% OverOpen

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As of Oct 1, 08:27 AM UTC