PolymarketResolved

Set 1 Winner: Neo Niedner vs Connor Smillie

Neo Niedner100%
Connor Smillie0%

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This market has settled. The prices shown are final.
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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$0
Spread19%
ResolvesOct 5, 2026in 5 days

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 28, 01:50 AMSep 29, 12:33 AMSep 29, 11:16 PMSep 30, 09:59 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Neo Niedner and Connor Smillie in the M15 Fayetteville, AR, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to “Neo Niedner” if Neo Niedner wins the first set. It will resolve to “Connor Smillie” if Connor Smillie wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF match statistics.

Sourcehttps://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
M15 Fayetteville, AR: Neo Niedner vs Connor SmilliePolymarket100% Neo NiednerOpen
M15 Fayetteville, AR, Qualifying: Completed Match: Neo Niedner vs Connor SmilliePolymarket100% YesOpen
Niedner vs. Smillie: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Neo Niedner vs. Connor Smillie: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket100% Under 2.5Open
Niedner vs. Smillie: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Niedner vs. Smillie: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket100% OverOpen
Niedner vs. Smillie: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Niedner vs. Smillie: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Niedner vs. Smillie: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Niedner vs. Smillie: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Set 2 Winner: Neo Niedner vs Connor SmilliePolymarket100% Neo NiednerOpen
Set Handicap: Neo Niedner (-1.5) vs Connor Smillie (+1.5)Polymarket100% Neo NiednerOpen
Set Handicap: Connor Smillie (-1.5) vs Neo Niedner (+1.5)Polymarket100% Neo NiednerOpen
Niedner vs. Smillie: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket100% OverOpen
Niedner vs. Smillie: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket100% OverOpen

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As of Oct 1, 02:20 AM UTC