California wins by over 10.5 points

No78%
California wins by over 10.5 points22%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread1%
ResolvesOct 3, 2026in 2 days

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 27Sep 28Sep 29Sep 30Oct 1Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If California wins by more than 10.5 points in the California vs UNLV college football game originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question →
Comparable, not identical. Kalshi uses its official final result and has a 48-hour postponement window before fair-price resolution; Polymarket uses NCAA.com and remains open until completion, with a 50-50 outcome if the game is canceled without a makeup.
  • Kalshithis market

    California wins by over 10.5 points

    If California wins by more than 10.5 points in the California vs UNLV college football game originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

  • PolymarketOpen →

    California vs UNLV: spread: California (-10.5)

    In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for October 3 at 3:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "California" if California win the game by 11 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "UNLV". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
UNLV wins by over 2.5 pointsKalshi50% NoOpen
UNLV wins by over 3.5 pointsKalshi57% NoOpen
California wins by over 4.5 pointsKalshi66% NoOpen
UNLV wins by over 13.5 pointsKalshi81% NoOpen
California wins by over 2.5 pointsKalshi59% NoOpen
UNLV wins by over 10.5 pointsKalshi76% NoOpen
UNLV wins by over 1.5 pointsKalshi54% UNLV wins by over 1.5 pointsOpen
UNLV wins by over 16.5 pointsKalshi85% NoOpen
UNLV wins by over 4.5 pointsKalshi58% NoOpen
California wins by over 7.5 pointsKalshi75% NoOpen
UNLV wins by over 14.5 pointsKalshi83% NoOpen
California wins by over 14.5 pointsKalshi88% NoOpen
California wins by over 16.5 pointsKalshi90% NoOpen
California wins by over 1.5 pointsKalshi57% NoOpen
UNLV wins by over 7.5 pointsKalshi70% NoOpen
UNLV wins by over 5.5 pointsKalshi60% NoOpen
UNLV wins by over 6.5 pointsKalshi64% NoOpen
UNLV wins by over 11.5 pointsKalshi76% NoOpen
California wins by over 6.5 pointsKalshi69% NoOpen
UNLV wins by over 9.5 pointsKalshi72% NoOpen
California wins by over 5.5 pointsKalshi68% NoOpen
California wins by over 9.5 pointsKalshi80% NoOpen
California wins by over 13.5 pointsKalshi79% NoOpen
California wins by over 11.5 pointsKalshi84% NoOpen
California wins by over 3.5 pointsKalshi65% NoOpen

Venue activity

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As of Oct 1, 10:39 AM UTC