PolymarketOpen

Game Spread: Felipe Meligeni Alves (-3.5) vs Carlos Maria Zarate (+3.5)

Carlos Maria Zarate50%
Felipe Meligeni Alves50%

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24h volume$26
7d volume$26
30d volume$26
Liquidity—
Spread100%
ResolvesOct 5, 2026in 6 days

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 27, 09:49 PMSep 28, 01:53 PMSep 29, 05:56 AMSep 29, 10:00 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Felipe Meligeni Alves" if Felipe Meligeni Alves wins 3.5 or more total games than Carlos Maria Zarate in the upcoming tennis match, scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Carlos Maria Zarate". Games won will be counted across all sets played in the match. A set decided by a tiebreak will count as one game for the winner of that tiebreak, and a match tiebreak played in place of a final set will also count as one game for its winner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), or is delayed beyond 14 days from the scheduled date without completion at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the match ends at a point where Felipe Meligeni Alves could no longer have finished 3.5 or more games ahead even by winning every remaining game, this market will resolve to "Carlos Maria Zarate". If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Sourcehttps://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Alves vs. Zarate: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Set Handicap: Felipe Meligeni Alves (-1.5) vs Carlos Maria Zarate (+1.5)Polymarket50% Felipe Meligeni AlvesOpen
Alves vs. Zarate: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Set 2 Winner: Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Carlos Maria ZaratePolymarket50% Felipe Meligeni AlvesOpen
Alves vs. Zarate: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Alves vs. Zarate: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket100% OverOpen
Alves vs. Zarate: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Alves vs. Zarate: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Felipe Meligeni Alves vs. Carlos Maria Zarate: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket50% Over 2.5Open
Alves vs. Zarate: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Alves vs. Zarate: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Alves vs. Zarate: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Curitiba: Completed Match: Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Carlos Maria ZaratePolymarket50% YesOpen
Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Carlos Maria Zarate: Felipe Meligeni Alves winsPolymarket98% Felipe Meligeni AlvesOpen
Set 1 Winner: Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Carlos Maria ZaratePolymarket100% Felipe Meligeni AlvesOpen

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As of Sep 29, 10:16 PM UTC