PolymarketOpen

Alves vs. Zarate: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5

Under50%
Over50%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$873.9
Spread74%
ResolvesOct 5, 2026in 6 days

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 27, 04:51 AMSep 28, 02:34 AMSep 29, 12:17 AMSep 29, 10:00 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Felipe Meligeni Alves and Carlos Maria Zarate in the Curitiba, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 9. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game. If the match is postponed or suspended, this market will remain open until the first set has been completed. A postponement alone will not trigger a 50-50 resolution. If the match is permanently abandoned before the first set is completed, or if the first set has not been completed by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play. An outcome is considered unconditionally determined if it would have been guaranteed under every possible completion of the set played according to the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round, including whether the set is decided by a tiebreak. For example, for a line of 9.5, if play stops with the first set at 5-4, completing the set would have required at least 1 additional game, resulting in at least 10 games played, so "Over" would resolve as the winning outcome. The primary resolution source for this market will be official Challenger statistics; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Sourcehttps://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Alves vs. Zarate: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Set Handicap: Felipe Meligeni Alves (-1.5) vs Carlos Maria Zarate (+1.5)Polymarket50% Felipe Meligeni AlvesOpen
Alves vs. Zarate: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Set 2 Winner: Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Carlos Maria ZaratePolymarket50% Felipe Meligeni AlvesOpen
Alves vs. Zarate: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket100% OverOpen
Alves vs. Zarate: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Alves vs. Zarate: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Felipe Meligeni Alves vs. Carlos Maria Zarate: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket50% Over 2.5Open
Alves vs. Zarate: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Alves vs. Zarate: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Alves vs. Zarate: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Curitiba: Completed Match: Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Carlos Maria ZaratePolymarket50% YesOpen
Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Carlos Maria Zarate: Felipe Meligeni Alves winsPolymarket98% Felipe Meligeni AlvesOpen
Game Spread: Felipe Meligeni Alves (-3.5) vs Carlos Maria Zarate (+3.5)Polymarket50% Carlos Maria ZarateOpen
Set 1 Winner: Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Carlos Maria ZaratePolymarket100% Felipe Meligeni AlvesOpen

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As of Sep 29, 10:10 PM UTC