PolymarketResolved

Set 1 Winner: Arina Arifullina vs Min Liu

Arina Arifullina100%
Min Liu0%

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This market has settled. The prices shown are final.
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Liquidity$0
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ResolvesOct 5, 2026in 5 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 27, 07:46 PMSep 28, 06:03 PMSep 29, 04:19 PMSep 30, 02:36 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Arina Arifullina and Min Liu in the W35 Baza, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to “Arina Arifullina” if Arina Arifullina wins the first set. It will resolve to “Min Liu” if Min Liu wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF match statistics.

Sourcehttps://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
W35 Baza, Qualifying: Completed Match: Arina Arifullina vs Min LiuPolymarket100% YesOpen
W35 Baza: Arina Arifullina vs Min LiuPolymarket100% Arina ArifullinaOpen
Arifullina vs. Liu: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket100% OverOpen
Arifullina vs. Liu: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Set Handicap: Arina Arifullina (-1.5) vs Min Liu (+1.5)Polymarket100% Arina ArifullinaOpen
Arifullina vs. Liu: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Arina Arifullina vs. Min Liu: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket100% Under 2.5Open
Set 2 Winner: Arina Arifullina vs Min LiuPolymarket100% Arina ArifullinaOpen
Set Handicap: Min Liu (-1.5) vs Arina Arifullina (+1.5)Polymarket100% Arina ArifullinaOpen
Arifullina vs. Liu: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket100% OverOpen
Arifullina vs. Liu: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Arifullina vs. Liu: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket100% OverOpen
Arifullina vs. Liu: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Arifullina vs. Liu: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Arifullina vs. Liu: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket100% OverOpen

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As of Sep 30, 06:36 PM UTC