PolymarketResolved

Set Handicap: Min Liu (-1.5) vs Arina Arifullina (+1.5)

Arina Arifullina100%
Min Liu0%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
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Liquidity$0
Spread1%
ResolvesOct 5, 2026in 4 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 27, 10:38 PMSep 28, 09:05 PMSep 29, 07:31 PMSep 30, 05:58 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Min Liu and Arina Arifullina in the W35 Baza, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Min Liu" if Min Liu wins by 2 or more sets than Arina Arifullina, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Arina Arifullina." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Min Liu can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Arina Arifullina." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF results.

Sourcehttps://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
W35 Baza, Qualifying: Completed Match: Arina Arifullina vs Min LiuPolymarket100% YesOpen
W35 Baza: Arina Arifullina vs Min LiuPolymarket100% Arina ArifullinaOpen
Arifullina vs. Liu: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket100% OverOpen
Arifullina vs. Liu: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Set Handicap: Arina Arifullina (-1.5) vs Min Liu (+1.5)Polymarket100% Arina ArifullinaOpen
Arifullina vs. Liu: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Arina Arifullina vs. Min Liu: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket100% Under 2.5Open
Set 2 Winner: Arina Arifullina vs Min LiuPolymarket100% Arina ArifullinaOpen
Arifullina vs. Liu: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket100% OverOpen
Arifullina vs. Liu: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Arifullina vs. Liu: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket100% OverOpen
Arifullina vs. Liu: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Arifullina vs. Liu: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Arifullina vs. Liu: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket100% OverOpen
Set 1 Winner: Arina Arifullina vs Min LiuPolymarket100% Arina ArifullinaOpen

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As of Sep 30, 08:51 PM UTC