PolymarketResolved

Set Handicap: Alex de Minaur (-1.5) vs Carlos Alcaraz (+1.5)

Alex de Minaur50%
Carlos Alcaraz50%

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24h volume—
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Spread1%
ResolvesOct 4, 2026in 2 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 27, 04:51 AMSep 28, 03:38 AMSep 29, 02:26 AMSep 30, 01:14 AMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Alex de Minaur and Carlos Alcaraz in the Laver Cup, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Alex de Minaur" if Alex de Minaur wins by 2 or more sets than Carlos Alcaraz, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Carlos Alcaraz." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Alex de Minaur can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Carlos Alcaraz." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP results.

Sourcehttps://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Alcaraz vs. Minaur: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Carlos Alcaraz vs. Alex de Minaur: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket50% Under 2.5Open
Alcaraz vs. Minaur: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Set 2 Winner: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex de MinaurPolymarket50% Carlos AlcarazOpen
Alcaraz vs. Minaur: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Set Handicap: Carlos Alcaraz (-1.5) vs Alex de Minaur (+1.5)Polymarket50% Carlos AlcarazOpen
Alcaraz vs. Minaur: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Alcaraz vs. Minaur: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Alcaraz vs. Minaur: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Set 1 Winner: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex de MinaurPolymarket50% Alex de MinaurOpen
Alcaraz vs. Minaur: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Alcaraz vs. Minaur: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Alcaraz vs. Minaur: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Game Spread: Carlos Alcaraz (-5.5) vs Alex de Minaur (+5.5)Polymarket50% Alex de MinaurOpen
Laver Cup: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex de MinaurPolymarket50% Alex de MinaurOpen
Laver Cup: Completed Match: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex de MinaurPolymarket100% NoOpen

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As of Oct 2, 05:57 AM UTC